Designing a Supply Chain For Demand And Supply Uncertainty

Supply chain management is a powerful managementcan be pooled, shared and managed along with other
tool to win over competition. Well designed supplyusers if the inputs items are scarce high value items
chain for different products will look different. Supplywhich are difficult to obtain in bulk. Maintaining substitute
chain for supplying pasta will be different from supplymaterials and alternative suppliers is a time tested
chain for selling fashion jewelry or rushing airline sparetactic used to manage supply side risk. Practise of
parts. Supply chain for producing and delivering pastaallowing substitute parts or materials earlier during the
will be designed for productivity and efficiency. Supplydesign time is also a supply side risk management
chain for airline spare parts or offshore drillingstrategy famously called as "Design for Supply Chain".
equipment will give utmost importance to timelyFirms in the down stream of supply chain use more
delivery and availability at any cost. Nature of thecustom parts to differentiate their products from their
product, customer expectation, production method andcompetitors. Special attention is required to maintain
parts used are some of the factors to be considereduninterrupted supply of such custom made parts critical
when designing a fitting supply chain. Demand andto product differentiation. Various supplier relationship
supply side uncertainty are the key determining factorstrategies such as controlling stake, partnership, future
when designing a supply chain for a product. Wellcontracts and other supply hedges to secure steady
designed supply chain that suits a product or categorysupply of critical parts.
is a competitive advantage. Product nature can beDemand is unpredictable for items like fashion apparel
broadly classified as either functional or aesthetic.and hi-tech gadgets. These products rarely face any
Functional products like pasta have stable demandsupply side uncertainty. Demand for items such as
whereas demand for aesthetic products like fashionfashion apparel, movie and books are known only
goods is erratic. Innovative aesthetic products enjoywhen the product reaches the store shelf. If the
high profit margins but at the same time have seasonalmarket reception for new items is not good, excess
demand and short product life cycle. It is difficult toinventory is sold at a discount. Strategies such as
stock enough of each items from broader productpostponement, store level configuration, parallel
portfolio but a stock out of a popular item can tarnishfeatures and Internet orders can help tackle excess
brand reputation. On the other hand functional productsstock due to unpredictable demand. HP, a leading
like pasta or bread have predictable demand. Productconsumer electronics manufacturer, tackled the
nature determines demand uncertainty which in turnproblem of uncertain demand for its high end printers
determines the nature of the supply chain. Whileby postponing the minor but important assembly tasks
product nature lends demand uncertainty, supply sideto regional distribution centers. Generic products are
uncertainty can emanate from multiple factors.customized just before delivery time to meet demand
Uncertainty at the production stage can originate formfor different types of same product. Reseller or dealer
unpredictable yield or change in production technologylevel configuration can be used to customize products
or change in process. Uncertain lead time, small supplywhich are easy to configure. For low value items like
base and weather are also some of theself service manuals and warranty cards, printing and
non-production factors that contribute to supply sidepackaging in multiple languages is an effective strategy
uncertainty. When the supply side and demand sidefor multi national and multi cultural supply chains.
variations are low, operational efficiency is the key toOpening online channels may work well for items like
successful supply chain. Production intensive industriesmusic, video games etc. Apple iTunes site for iPod is a
can improve operational efficiency by optimizing thenotable example. Dell's popular assemble to order
production process and eliminating non value addingprocess for PC manufacturing is a revolutionary
activities. An important issue to keep in mind duringexample of supply chain design for demand volatility.
supply chain design is visibility to actual demand fromProducts with variable demand and supply can use a
end customer. Stable demand from end consumerscombination of above techniques. Collaborative
may become lumpy and unpredictable to second anddemand forecasting with buyers and collaborative
third level suppliers due to bulk ordering practice ofplanning with suppliers can maximize the value of
distributor and retailer. Supply chain planning becomesoverall supply chain.
difficult when the demand is unpredictable. Trust basedCopyright. SupplyChainStar. This article can be
collaboration between the supplier and buyer forreproduced without modification as long as it includes
sharing real demand information is the solution forthe author bio and preserves the URL links included in
avoiding demand lumping in the supply chain. Stablethe article.
and even demand facilitates better demand forecast,Authored by Senthil
effective planning, optimum levels of safety stock,Author is an independent supply chain, logistics and
better customer service levels, less waste andtechnology consultant focusing on strategy and
improved profit margins. Logistics is core to operationtechnology used by enterprise for better supply chain,
of distribution intensive firms. Firms in distributionlogistics and general operations management. He
intensive industries like retail and 3PL must focus onregularly tracks and analyses industry news and
improving logistic efficiency. Careful review ofsupply chain trends and writes articles for
transportation, storage and distribution network andSupplyChainStar and other business magazines. He
practice will through some light into non value addingalso exchanges ideas with leading executives through
logistic tasks. Redesign of end to end supply chain caninterviews and conference participation.
improve logistic efficiency. WalMart, a pioneer in retailWhen requested, he is also available for reviewing and
supply chain, ships stable demand products directly torecommending process and technology changes for
the store from its supplier thereby eliminating expensesbetter operations management. Insights gathered from
due to intermediate handling, inventory managementexecutive interviews, discussion and other means are
and transportation.usually published in SupplyChainStar for the benefit of
When the supply side uncertainty is high, risk poolingsupply chain professionals. Others interested in supply
input materials can help Inventory can be piled up forchain can also contribute to SupplyChainStar by
low value input materials. Usually there is a riskpublishing articles in their area of expertise and
associated with creative or high-value parts. Inventoryparticipating in discussions.